Carne: Private markets ‘retailisation’ may boost semi-liquid fund assets
Carne: Private markets ‘retailisation’ may boost semi-liquid fund assets
New research from Carne Group reveals that both wealth managers and private markets fund managers expect assets under management (AUM) held in semi-liquid vehicles to exceed $3 trillion by 2030. The semi-liquid market has already demonstrated explosive momentum, with AUM nearly tripling between 2020 and 2024 to approximately $349 billion.
The survey findings show that wealth managers plan to put a lot more of their clients money into private markets funds, and private market fund managers are planning to launch more semi-liquid funds aimed at the retail market.
Nearly eight out of 10 (78%) private market fund managers surveyed expect the sector to surpass $3 trillion by 2030. Wealth managers are equally bullish: 54% expect AUM to reach between $3 trillion and $3.5 trillion, while 18% believe the figure will climb even higher.
Semi-liquid funds operate as open-ended investment vehicles, providing sophisticated and mass-affluent retail investors with access to typically illiquid assets like private equity, with periodic redemption windows.
Carne’s research reveals 72% of wealth managers surveyed already use semi-liquid funds for their clients. The remaining 28% are preparing to follow suit almost immediately.
The speed of adoption is reflected in the anticipated weightings within client portfolios. Nearly a third (32%) of wealth managers surveyed expect to have 5% of their clients' total investible assets in semi-liquid funds within three to four years. This conviction strengthens over a slightly longer horizon, with 66% expecting to hit that 5% allocation within four to five years.
While the demand from wealth managers is clear, the supply side is also moving quickly. Currently, only 2% of the private market fund managers surveyed have launched a semi-liquid fund. However, the survey reveals a massive potential pipeline of new entrants. 19% of private market fund managers surveyed are considering launching a semi-liquid fund within the next 12 months.