OpinioPro Research


Financial Investigator Research by OpinionPro

  • Nordea - Turkish turmoil: When liquidity tightens, idiosyncratic problems can trigger systemic moves.

    Nordea - Turkish turmoil: When liquidity tightens, idiosyncratic problems can trigger systemic moves.

    dinsdag 14 augustus 2018

    Turkey is in a genuine currency crisis. The lira fell 30% over 3 days. Fundamentally speaking, the reason for the Turkish meltdown is primarily a large current account deficit (6% of GDP) and reliance on outside capital. Markets don’t care as long as liquidity stays abundant, but are turning toxic when global liquidity dries up due to higher interest rates, the Fed’s balance sheet s

  • BlackRock - Earnings strength bodes well for stocks

    BlackRock - Earnings strength bodes well for stocks

    dinsdag 14 augustus 2018

    BII Global weekly commentary
    • We see corporate earnings strength, particularly in the U.S., extending through year-end, as upbeat guidance signals company confidence • The Turkish lira hit record lows amid rising worries about Turkey’s fragile economy, sending jitters across emerging markets (EM) • Economic data are likely to show Chinese growth hold

  • UBP - Exploiting Opportunities in Equities and Managing Risks in Bonds

    UBP - Exploiting Opportunities in Equities and Managing Risks in Bonds

    dinsdag 7 augustus 2018

    “Despite volatility, stay focused on equities”
    Investors entered 2018 optimistic following the stellar returns across most asset classes in 2017. However, at UBP, we cautioned that more limited – though still positive – performances were likely in 2018. As we enter the summer, despite volatility in global equity, fixed income and foreign exchange m

  • Erste Group - CEE Market Insights

    Erste Group - CEE Market Insights

    dinsdag 14 augustus 2018

    Market outlook 
    The Turkish situation took its toll on CEE FX markets towards the end of last week, after the somewhat uneventful days earlier last week. If international sentiment, which is currently poisoned by the Turkish woes, worsens further, CEE currencies could also decline to the extent seen towards the end of last week. Fundamentally speaking, however, CEE c

  • UBS - Minding the gap

    UBS - Minding the gap

    dinsdag 14 augustus 2018

    "If markets at present truly don’t care about the UK’s savings gap, then there is no better time to start thinking about how to close it."
    Emerging markets have not had a pleasant summer. Although idiosyncratic factors have affected some economies more than others, rising US yields and dollar strength have clearly been a major catalyst.
    Why does this matter for

  • UBS - So what does neutral mean?

    UBS - So what does neutral mean?

    dinsdag 14 augustus 2018

    Our asset allocations are designed so that the "neutral" allocation delivers growth while also providing resilience during uncertain market environments. This balance of risk and reward is our keystone for navigating a world of uncertainty, and we believe returning to it now is the most prudent step that we can take.

  • UBS - Should investors worry about the tumbling yuan?

    UBS - Should investors worry about the tumbling yuan?

    dinsdag 14 augustus 2018

    1. US earnings strength overshadows market risks
    2. The Chinese yuan looks vulnerable, but not yet a global problem
    3. Idiosyncratic political risks highlight the benefits of diversification
    Is the Eurozone recovering its momentum?
    The initial GDP reading for the second quarter was a disappointing 0.3%, a two-year low. The rate being revised higher this w

  • UBS - Will China drop the ball(s)?

    UBS - Will China drop the ball(s)?

    dinsdag 14 augustus 2018

    With ample government support, China's economy should withstand the domestic and external obstacles it faces and continue growing in accordance with Beijing's plan for a gradual slowdown.
    Chinese policymakers are performing one of the greatest juggling acts the world has ever seen. It began as an extraordinarily complex performance of managing a structural economic slowdown with t

  • UBS - Turkey closer to the edge, Argentina pulls along

    UBS - Turkey closer to the edge, Argentina pulls along

    dinsdag 14 augustus 2018

    A deepening crisis in Turkey could further sour investor appetite toward externally vulnerable and riskier emerging markets.
    Turkey's financial challenges intensified on Friday as the country's assets entered periods of free fall. In a single day, the Turkish lira was down 13.5% against the US dollar, spreads of dollar-denominated sovereign bonds widened by 80 basis points, and th

  • UBS - The charm offensive

    UBS - The charm offensive

    dinsdag 14 augustus 2018

    "...we shouldn’t be surprised if the theoretical deadlines for reaching an agreement come and go over the next couple of months unmet." 
    With the holiday season upon us, one would have hoped that the interminable Brexit process would have made it off of the front pages for a few weeks. But, no, it seems there is no time to rest for our elected leaders. UK politicians

  • Erste Group - Crash of lira puts pressure on Turkish borrowers

    Erste Group - Crash of lira puts pressure on Turkish borrowers

    zaterdag 11 augustus 2018

    At the end of the week, global markets were in a state of perturbation, caused by the crash of the Turkish lira. Concerns focus on foreign currency debt, especially of Turkish companies. The lira has lost 20% against the dollar since the beginning of August, which triggered an increase of unhedged foreign currency debt. This led to higher concerns about the Turkish banks and the European banks

  • Deutsche AWM - Upcoming GICS sector changes

    Deutsche AWM - Upcoming GICS sector changes

    donderdag 9 augustus 2018

    In a reaction to the changing ways in which we communicate and access digital information and entertainment services, the Global Industry Classification System (‘GICS’) will be making changes to its company classification system in September 2018. 3 sectors will be impacted:
    • Telecommunication Services will be broadened and renamed ‘Communication Services’

  • Invesco - Sex and drugs and rock and roll

    Invesco - Sex and drugs and rock and roll

    donderdag 9 augustus 2018

    Uncommon truths
    What do personality traits tell us about the way we behave? Studies show links with sexual, addictive and criminal behaviour, so it should be no surprise that risk-appetite depends upon our character type. And yes, testosterone also seems to play a role (in both risk-tolerance and success). 

  • State Street Global Advisors - Sector Dashboard

    State Street Global Advisors - Sector Dashboard

    donderdag 9 augustus 2018

    Overview
    During the Q2 reporting season, investors have returned to looking at earnings as a gauge for equity investment. Corporate earnings growth is relatively attractive, although the fears of a trade war remain. In this scenario, sector ETFs can offer an effective way to invest selectively.
    Our three Sectors to Watch this month focus on parts of

  • NN Investment Partners - Good behaviour

    NN Investment Partners - Good behaviour

    donderdag 9 augustus 2018

    HouseView
    • UK growth holding up well despite Brexit fears, but growth path is moderating • Sterling stabilization has enabled start of inflation normalization • Bank of England intends to continue with gradual hiking, but chaotic Brexit process could ultimately stop this

  • ECB - Update on economic and monetary developments

    ECB - Update on economic and monetary developments

    donderdag 9 augustus 2018

    Economic Bulletin
    The information that has become available since the Governing Council’s monetary policy meeting on 14 June indicates that the euro area economy is proceeding along a solid and broad-based growth path. 1 Uncertainties related to global factors, notably the threat of protectionism, remain prominent, and the risk of persistent heightened financial mar

  • GMO - The Race of Our Lives Revisited

    GMO - The Race of Our Lives Revisited

    dinsdag 14 augustus 2018

    It was always going to be difficult for us – Homo sapiens – to deal with the long-term, slow-burning problems that threaten us today: climate change, population growth, increasing environmental toxicity, and the impact of all these three on the future ability to feed the 11 billion people projected for 2100. Our main disadvantage is that our species has developed over the last few h

  • State Street Global Advisors - Emerging Markets — Are Flows Coming Back? We’re Looking For A Catalyst

    State Street Global Advisors - Emerging Markets — Are Flows Coming Back? We’re Looking For A Catalyst

    woensdag 8 augustus 2018

    Are We Past The Most Challenging Times for Emerging Markets?
    Emerging markets endured some turbulence after the aggressive trade war rhetoric surprised the markets in February this year. Since then, things have changed. Emerging market economic surprise indicators fell from a high of 39.5 mid-March to a low of -27.1 mid-June.1 These indicators recovered to 0 by the end of

  • Northern Trust - US Economic & Interest rate outlook

    Northern Trust - US Economic & Interest rate outlook

    donderdag 9 augustus 2018

    On a personal level, summer is often a season that affords an additional measure of leisure. Some take vacations, while those still at their posts often leave on time to enjoy the long evenings. As we move through the summer of 2018, the U.S. economy is showing no signs of slacking off. A strong second quarter was highlighted by continued job growth, manageable inflation and robust consumer spe

  • S&P Global - S&P 500® Corporate Pensions and Other Post-Employment Benefits (OPEB) in 2017

    S&P Global - S&P 500® Corporate Pensions and Other Post-Employment Benefits (OPEB) in 2017

    dinsdag 7 augustus 2018

    Providing Americans with adequate retirement income and affordable medical care was one of the country's most hotly debated social and political topics of the 20th century. However, the times have changed, along with longevity, as the medical cost of that prolonged longevity has risen, and corporations’ ability to absorb the risks associated with multidecade portfolios to finance thos

 

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