JP Morgan: Governments and central banks have been bridging the gap caused by the virus

JP Morgan: Governments and central banks have been bridging the gap caused by the virus

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As we discuss in our Investment Outlook for 2021: Bridge over troubled waters, governments and central banks have proved pivotal in helping economies to bridge the gap caused by the virus.

Governments have issued trillions of dollars of debt this year, but this has come with the backing of central banks as they have broadly swallowed up government debt issuance across the developed economies. With central banks keeping borrowing costs incredibly low, governments have been able to spend as much as necessary to support consumers and businesses through the pandemic. The time will come when governments need to think about reducing those debt levels but for now they can focus on getting the economy back on track with the knowledge that the central banks are providing a helping hand.

% of nominal GDP, 2020 estimate

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Source: BoE, BoJ, Bloomberg, ECB, IMF, US Federal Reserve, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. 2020 budget deficit forecasts are from Bloomberg contributor composite. Central Bank government bond purchases for 2020 are JPMAM forecasts. Data as of 30 November 2020.